Silicon Valley Real Estate Blog

Information and updates about the Silicon Valley Real Estate Market, lifestyles, schools  and interesting facts about the communities.  

April 19, 2018

Silver Creek Valley Homes For Sale | Is Family Mortgage Debt Out of Control?

Silver Creek Valley Homes For Sale | Is Family Mortgage Debt Out of Control?

 

Silver Creek is one of the most beautiful valleys in the San Jose area with beautiful scenery and rolling hills.    

There's is an abundance of open space, hiking trails, great schools and charm. Locals know that  Silver Creek is a great place to raise a family.   

While some people may say that the area is energized by new growth and rapid changes, Silver Creek somehow retains its old-fashioned charm and authenticity to provide a tranquil life for your family   

Connect with the past, present and future in Silver Creek Valley, one of the most charming neighborhood you’ll find in the San Jose area.   

Every home buyer has a wish when looking for a home, while not all of them are granted, the ‘feel good magic’ happens when they start seeing homes around neighborhoods of this beautiful valley.   

Is the people what makes this place a little different from others, It's a great place to live.   

Neighbors welcome you with open arms and share indiscriminately the beauty and charm that Silver Creek has to offer.   

Today I would like to point out specifically about  Is Family Mortgage Debt Out of Control?

 

Some homeowners have recently done a “cash out” refinance and have taken a portion of their increased equity from their house. Others have sold their homes and purchased more expensive homes with larger mortgages. At the same time, first-time buyers have become homeowners and now have mortgage payments for the first time.

These developments have caused concern that families might be reaching unsustainable levels of mortgage debt. Some are worried that we may be repeating a behavior that helped precipitate the housing crash ten years ago.

Today, we want to assure everyone that this is not the case. Here is a graph created from data released by the Federal Reserve Board which shows the Household Debt Service Ratio for mortgages as a percentage of disposable personal income. The ratio is the total quarterly required mortgage payments divided by total quarterly disposable personal income. In other words, the percentage of spendable income people are using to pay their mortgage.

 

Today's ratio of 4.44% is nowhere near the ratio of 7.21% during the peak of the housing bubble and is instead at the lowest rate since 1980 (4.38%).

Bill McBride of Calculated Risk recently commented on the ratio:

“The Debt Service Ratio for mortgages is near the low for the last 38 years. This ratio increased rapidly during the housing bubble and continued to increase until 2007. With falling interest rates, and less mortgage debt, the mortgage ratio has declined significantly.”

 

Bottom Line

Many families paid a heavy price because of questionable practices that led to last decade's housing crash. It seems the American people have learned a lesson and are not repeating that same behavior regarding their mortgage debt.

 

Source.. KCM Don Orason Blog

 

“All agents are NOT alike, We are Different … and We Want To Earn Your Business and Trust”

 

“The real estate market is constantly changing. I would like the opportunity to show you some of the new ways in which you are able to buy, sell and search for new homes”. 

We continually invest in the latest technology to give you the most up to date information on homes for sale and the most exposure for your property when selling.   

Give us a call at 408–741–9300 before buying or selling your next home. 

Don Orason, Owner — Silicon Valley Real Estate Team   

www.siliconvalleyrealestateteam.com     

 

 

Posted in Silver Creek
April 12, 2018

Almaden Valley Homes For Sale | The COST of Your Next Home Will Be LESS Than Your Parents’ Home Was

Almaden Valley Homes For Sale |  The COST of Your Next Home Will Be LESS Than Your Parents’ Home Was

 

We’ve streamlined and perfected the process of finding dream homes for our clients in Almaden Valley      

We know you want to spend less time looking at perhaps hundreds of homes for sale, looking all over. . .just to find that special place, allow our knowledge, experience and passion for Almaden Valley to guide you through the process of finding the right neighborhood that will fit your lifestyle. We strive in making it easier and have a direct path to help you find your dream home.    

We are also your Trusted Resource for Almaden Valley Real Estate, offering complete solutions for buyers, from financing assistance to creating innovative marketing strategies for home sellers.     

Check out the Almaden Valley Real Estate Market Report here!  

We are your neighborhood specialists and we are ready to help you..    

Today I would like to speak to you about The COST of Your Next Home Will Be LESS Than Your Parents’ Home Was

 

There is no doubt that the price of a home in most regions of the country is greater now than at any time in history. However, when we look at the cost of a home, it is cheaper to own today than it has been historically.

 

The Difference Between PRICE and COST

 

The price of a home is the dollar amount you and the seller agree to at the time of purchase. The cost of a home is the monthly expense you pay for your mortgage payment.

To accurately compare costs in different time periods, we must look at home prices, mortgage rates, and wages during each period. Home prices were less expensive years ago, but paychecks were also smaller and mortgage rates were much higher (the average mortgage interest rate in 1988 was 10.34%).

The best way to measure the COST of a home is to determine what percentage of income is necessary to buy a home at the time. That would take into account the price of the home, the mortgage interest rate and wages at the time.

Zillow just released research that examined home costs using this formula. The research compares the historic percentage of income necessary to afford a mortgage to the percentage needed today. It also revealed the cost if mortgage rates continue to rise as experts are predicting. Here is a graph of their findings*:

 

Rates would need to jump to 7% in order for the percentage of necessary income to be greater than historic norms.

 

Bottom Line

Whether you are a homeowner considering selling your current house and moving up to the home of your dreams, or a first-time buyer trying to purchase your first home, it’s a great time to move forward.

 

*Assumptions in the Zillow report: Buyer puts 20% down, takes out a conforming, 30-year fixed-rate mortgage at rates prevailing at the time, earns the median household income, and is buying a median-valued home.

 

Source.. KCM Don Orason Blog

 

“All agents are NOT alike, We are Different … and We Want To Earn Your Business and Trust”

 

“The real estate market is constantly changing. I would like the opportunity to show you some of the new ways in which you are able to buy, sell and search for new homes”. 

We continually invest in the latest technology to give you the most up to date information on homes for sale and the most exposure for your property when selling.  

Give us a call at 408–741–9300 before buying or selling your next home. 

Don Orason, Owner — Silicon Valley Real Estate Team   

www.siliconvalleyrealestateteam.com  

 

 

Posted in Almaden Valley
April 5, 2018

Silver Creek Valley | House Prices: Simply a Matter of Supply & Demand

Silver Creek Valley | House Prices: Simply a Matter of Supply & Demand

 

Silver Creek is one of the most beautiful valleys in the San Jose area with beautiful scenery and rolling hills.    

There's is an abundance of open space, hiking trails, great schools and charm. Locals know that  Silver Creek is a great place to raise a family.   

While some people may say that the area is energized by new growth and rapid changes, Silver Creek somehow retains its old-fashioned charm and authenticity to provide a tranquil life for your family   

Connect with the past, present and future in Silver Creek Valley, one of the most charming neighborhood you’ll find in the San Jose area.   

Every home buyer has a wish when looking for a home, while not all of them are granted, the ‘feel good magic’ happens when they start seeing homes around neighborhoods of this beautiful valley.   

Is the people what makes this place a little different from others, It's a great place to live.   

Neighbors welcome you with open arms and share indiscriminately the beauty and charm that Silver Creek has to offer.   

Today I would like to point out specifically about  House Prices: Simply a Matter of Supply & Demand

 

Why are home prices still rising? It is a simple answer. There are more purchasers in the market right now than there are available homes for them to buy. This is an example of the theory of “supply and demand” which is defined as:

“the amount of a commodity, product, or service available and the desire of buyers for it, considered as factors regulating its price.”

When demand exceeds supply, prices go up. This is currently happening in the residential real estate market.

Here are the numbers for supply and demand as compared to last year for the last three months (March numbers are not yet available):

 

 In each of the last three months, demand (buyer traffic) has increased as compared to last year while supply (number of available listings) has decreased. If this situation persists, home values will continue to increase.

Bottom Line

The reason home prices are still rising is because there are many purchasers looking to buy, but very few homeowners ready to sell. This imbalance is the reason prices will remain on the uptick.

 

Source.. KCM Don Orason Blog

 

“All agents are NOT alike, We are Different … and We Want To Earn Your Business and Trust”

 

“The real estate market is constantly changing. I would like the opportunity to show you some of the new ways in which you are able to buy, sell and search for new homes”. 

We continually invest in the latest technology to give you the most up to date information on homes for sale and the most exposure for your property when selling.   

Give us a call at 408–741–9300 before buying or selling your next home. 

Don Orason, Owner — Silicon Valley Real Estate Team   

www.siliconvalleyrealestateteam.com    

 

 

Posted in Silver Creek
March 29, 2018

Almaden Valley | 99% of Experts Agree: Home Prices Will Increase

Almaden Valley | 99% of Experts Agree: Home Prices Will Increase

 

We’ve streamlined and perfected the process of finding dream homes for our clients in Almaden Valley     

We know you want to spend less time looking at perhaps hundreds of homes for sale, looking all over. . .just to find that special place, allow our knowledge, experience and passion for Almaden Valley to guide you through the process of finding the right neighborhood that will fit your lifestyle. We strive in making it easier and have a direct path to help you find your dream home.    

We are also your Trusted Resource for Almaden Valley Real Estate, offering complete solutions for buyers, from financing assistance to creating innovative marketing strategies for home sellers.     

Check out the Almaden Valley Real Estate Market Report here!  

We are your neighborhood specialists and we are ready to help you..    

Today I would like to speak to you about 99% of Experts Agree: Home Prices Will Increase

 

Some believe that the combined effects of the new tax code and rising mortgage rates will have an adverse impact on residential real estate prices in 2018. However, the clear majority of recently surveyed housing experts believe that home values will continue to rise this year.

 

What is the Home Price Expectation Survey?

Each quarter, Pulsenomics surveys a nationwide panel of economists, real estate experts and investment & market strategists. Those surveyed include experts such as:

 

 * Daniel Bachman, Senior Manager, U.S. Economics at Deloitte Services, LP

 * Kathy Bostjancic, Head of U.S. Macro Investors Service at Oxford Economics

 * David Downs, Real Estate Finance Professor at VCU

 * Edward Pinto, Resident Fellow at American Enterprise Institute

 * Albert Saiz, Director at MIT Center for Real Estate

 

Where do these experts see home values headed in 2018?

Here is a breakdown of where they see home values twelve months from now:

 

 * 21.6% believe prices will appreciate by 6% or more

 * 71.6% believe prices will appreciate between 3 and 5.99%

 * 5.7% believe prices will appreciate between 0 and 2.99%

 * Only 1.1% believe prices will depreciate

 

Bottom Line

Almost ninety-nine percent of the top experts studying residential real estate believe that prices will appreciate this year, and over 93% believe home values will appreciate by at least 3%.

 

Source.. KCM Don Orason Blog

 

“All agents are NOT alike, We are Different … and We Want To Earn Your Business and Trust”

“The real estate market is constantly changing. I would like the opportunity to show you some of the new ways in which you are able to buy, sell and search for new homes”. 

We continually invest in the latest technology to give you the most up to date information on homes for sale and the most exposure for your property when selling.  

Give us a call at 408–741–9300 before buying or selling your next home. 

Don Orason, Owner — Silicon Valley Real Estate Team   

www.siliconvalleyrealestateteam.com 

 

 

Posted in Almaden Valley
March 22, 2018

Silver Creek Valley | Freddie Mac: Rising Mortgage Rates DO NOT Lead to Falling Home Prices

Silver Creek Valley | Freddie Mac: Rising Mortgage Rates DO NOT Lead to Falling Home Prices

 

Silver Creek is one of the most beautiful valleys in the San Jose area with beautiful scenery and rolling hills.    

There's is an abundance of open space, hiking trails, great schools and charm. Locals know that  Silver Creek is a great place to raise a family.   

While some people may say that the area is energized by new growth and rapid changes, Silver Creek somehow retains its old-fashioned charm and authenticity to provide a tranquil life for your family   

Connect with the past, present and future in Silver Creek Valley, one of the most charming neighborhood you’ll find in the San Jose area.   

Every home buyer has a wish when looking for a home, while not all of them are granted, the ‘feel good magic’ happens when they start seeing homes around neighborhoods of this beautiful valley.   

Is the people what makes this place a little different from others, It's a great place to live.   

Neighbors welcome you with open arms and share indiscriminately the beauty and charm that Silver Creek has to offer.   

Today I would like to point out specifically about  Freddie Mac: Rising Mortgage Rates DO NOT Lead to Falling Home Prices

 

Recently, Freddie Mac published an Insight Report titled Nowhere to go but up? How increasing mortgage rates could affect housing. The report focused on the impact the projected rise in mortgage rates might have on the housing market this year.

Many believe that an increase in mortgage rates will cause a slowdown in purchases which would, in turn, lead to a fall in house values. Ultimately, however, prices are determined by supply and demand and while rising mortgage rates may slow demand, they also affect supply. From the report:

 “For current homeowners, the decision to buy a new home is typically linked to their decision to sell their current home… Because of this link, the financing costs of the existing mortgage are part of the homeowner’s decision of whether and when to move.

Once financing costs for a new mortgage rise above the rate borrowers are paying for their current mortgage, borrowers would have to give up below-market financing to sell their home.

Instead, they may choose to delay both the sale of their existing home and the purchase of a new home to maintain the advantageous financing.”

The Freddie Mac report, in acknowledging this situation, concluded that prices are not adversely impacted by higher mortgage rates. They explained:

“While there is a drop in the demand for homes, there is an associated drop in the supply of homes from the link between the selling and buying decisions. As both supply and demand move together in this way they have offsetting effects on price—lower demand decreases price and lower supply increases price.

They went on to reveal that the Freddie Mac National House Price Index is…

“…unresponsive to movements in interest rates. In the current housing market, the driving force behind the increase in prices is a low supply of both new and existing homes combined with historically low rates. As mortgage rates increase, the demand for home purchases will likely remain strong relative to the constrained supply and continue to put upward pressure on home prices.

The following graph, based on data from the report, reveals what happened to home prices the last six times mortgage rates rose by at least 1%.

 

Bottom Line

Whether you are a move-up buyer or first-time buyer, waiting to purchase your next home based on the belief that prices will fall because of rising mortgage rates makes no sense.

 

Source.. KCM Don Orason Blog

 

“All agents are NOT alike, We are Different … and We Want To Earn Your Business and Trust”

 

“The real estate market is constantly changing. I would like the opportunity to show you some of the new ways in which you are able to buy, sell and search for new homes”. 

We continually invest in the latest technology to give you the most up to date information on homes for sale and the most exposure for your property when selling.   

Give us a call at 408–741–9300 before buying or selling your next home. 

Don Orason, Owner — Silicon Valley Real Estate Team   

www.siliconvalleyrealestateteam.com    

 

 

Posted in Silver Creek
March 15, 2018

Almaden Valley | Moving up Is MORE Affordable Now Than Almost Any Other Time in 40 Years

Almaden Valley | Moving up Is MORE Affordable Now Than Almost Any Other Time in 40 Years

 

We’ve streamlined and perfected the process of finding dream homes for our clients in Almaden Valley     

We know you want to spend less time looking at perhaps hundreds of homes for sale, looking all over. . .just to find that special place, allow our knowledge, experience and passion for Almaden Valley to guide you through the process of finding the right neighborhood that will fit your lifestyle. We strive in making it easier and have a direct path to help you find your dream home.    

We are also your Trusted Resource for Almaden Valley Real Estate, offering complete solutions for buyers, from financing assistance to creating innovative marketing strategies for home sellers.     

Check out the Almaden Valley Real Estate Market Report here!  

We are your neighborhood specialists and we are ready to help you..    

Today I would like to speak to you about Moving up Is MORE Affordable Now Than Almost Any Other Time in 40 Years

 

If you are considering selling your current home, to either move up to a larger home or into a home in an area that better suits your current family needs, great news was just revealed. 

Last week, Trulia posted a blog, Not Your Father’s Housing Market, which examined home affordability over the last 40+ years (1975-2016). Their research revealed that: 

“Nationally, homes are just about the most affordable they’ve been in the last 40 years… the median household could afford a home 1.5 times more expensive than the median home price. In 1980, the median household could only afford about 3/4 of the median home price. 

Despite relatively stagnant incomes, affordability has grown due to the sharp drop in mortgage rates over the last 30 years – from a high of over 16% in the 1980s to under 4% by 2016. 

Of the nation’s 100 largest metros, only Miami became unaffordable between 1990 and 2016. Meanwhile, 22 metros have flipped from being unaffordable to becoming affordable in that same time frame.”

Here is a graph showing the Affordability Index compared to the 40-year average:

 

The graph shows that housing affordability is better now than at any other time in the last forty years, except during the housing crash last decade.

(Remember that during the crash you could purchase distressed properties – foreclosures and short sales – at 20-50% discounts.)

There is no doubt that with home prices and mortgage rates on the rise, the affordability index will continue to fall. That is why if you are thinking of moving up, you probably shouldn’t wait.

 

Bottom Line

If you have held off on moving up to your family’s dream home because you were hoping to time the market, that time has come.

 

Source.. KCM Don Orason Blog

 

“All agents are NOT alike, We are Different … and We Want To Earn Your Business and Trust”

“The real estate market is constantly changing. I would like the opportunity to show you some of the new ways in which you are able to buy, sell and search for new homes”. 

We continually invest in the latest technology to give you the most up to date information on homes for sale and the most exposure for your property when selling.  

Give us a call at 408–741–9300 before buying or selling your next home. 

Don Orason, Owner — Silicon Valley Real Estate Team   

www.siliconvalleyrealestateteam.com 

 

 

Posted in Almaden Valley
March 8, 2018

Silver Creek Valley | A New Housing Bubble Forming…Not Before 2024!

Silver Creek Valley | A New Housing Bubble Forming…Not Before 2024!

 

Silver Creek is one of the most beautiful valleys in the San Jose area with beautiful scenery and rolling hills.    

There's is an abundance of open space, hiking trails, great schools and charm. Locals know that  Silver Creek is a great place to raise a family.   

While some people may say that the area is energized by new growth and rapid changes, Silver Creek somehow retains its old-fashioned charm and authenticity to provide a tranquil life for your family   

Connect with the past, present and future in Silver Creek Valley, one of the most charming neighborhood you’ll find in the San Jose area.   

Every home buyer has a wish when looking for a home, while not all of them are granted, the ‘feel good magic’ happens when they start seeing homes around neighborhoods of this beautiful valley.   

Is the people what makes this place a little different from others, It's a great place to live.   

Neighbors welcome you with open arms and share indiscriminately the beauty and charm that Silver Creek has to offer.   

Today I would like to point out specifically about  Homeownership: A New Housing Bubble Forming…Not Before 2024!

 

A recent report by CoreLogic revealed that U.S. home values appreciated by more than 37% over the last five years. Some are concerned that this is evidence we may be on the verge of another housing “boom & bust” like the one we experienced from 2006-2008.

Recently, several housing experts weighed in on the subject to alleviate these fears.

 

Sean Becketti, Freddie Mac Chief Economist

 “The evidence indicates there currently is no house price bubble in the U.S., despite the rapid increase of house prices over the last five years.”

 

Edward Golding, a Senior Fellow at the Urban Institute’s Housing Finance Policy Center

 “There is not likely to be a national bubble in the way that we saw the first decade of the century.”

 

Christopher Thornberg, Partner at Beacon Economics

 “There is no direct or indirect sign of any kind of bubble.”

 

Bill McBride, Calculated Risk

 “I wouldn’t call house prices a bubble.”

 

David M. Blitzer, Chairman of the Index Committee at S&P Dow Jones Indices

 “Housing is not repeating the bubble period of 2000-2006.”

 

A recent article by Teo Nicolais, a real estate entrepreneur who teaches courses on real estate principles, markets, and finance at Harvard Extension School concluded that the next housing bubble may not occur until 2024. 

The article, How to Use Real Estate Trends to Predict the Next Housing Bubble, looks at previous peaks in real estate values going all the way back to 1818. Nicolais uses the research of several economists. The article details the four phases of a real estate cycle and what defines each phase.

 

Nicolais concluded his article by saying: 

“Those who study the financial crisis of 2008 will (we hope) always be weary of the next major crash. If George, Harrison, and Foldvary are right, however, that won’t happen until after the next peak around 2024.  

Between now and then, aside from the occasional slow down and inevitable market hiccups, the real estate industry is likely to enjoy a long period of expansion.”

 

Bottom Line

The reason for the price appreciation we are seeing is an imbalance between supply and demand for housing. This has created a natural increase in values, not a bubble in prices.

 

Source.. KCM Don Orason Blog

 

“All agents are NOT alike, We are Different … and We Want To Earn Your Business and Trust”

“The real estate market is constantly changing. I would like the opportunity to show you some of the new ways in which you are able to buy, sell and search for new homes”. 

We continually invest in the latest technology to give you the most up to date information on homes for sale and the most exposure for your property when selling.   

Give us a call at 408–741–9300 before buying or selling your next home. 

Don Orason, Owner — Silicon Valley Real Estate Team   

www.siliconvalleyrealestateteam.com   

 

 

Posted in Silver Creek
March 1, 2018

Almaden Valley | Are Home Values Really Overinflated?

Almaden Valley | Are Home Values Really Overinflated?

 

We’ve streamlined and perfected the process of finding dream homes for our clients in Almaden Valley     

We know you want to spend less time looking at perhaps hundreds of homes for sale, looking all over. . .just to find that special place, allow our knowledge, experience and passion for Almaden Valley to guide you through the process of finding the right neighborhood that will fit your lifestyle. We strive in making it easier and have a direct path to help you find your dream home.    

We are also your Trusted Resource for Almaden Valley Real Estate, offering complete solutions for buyers, from financing assistance to creating innovative marketing strategies for home sellers.     

Check out the Almaden Valley Real Estate Market Report here!  

We are your neighborhood specialists and we are ready to help you..    

Today I would like to speak to you about Are Home Values Really Overinflated?

 

Last week, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) released their most recent Existing Home Sales Report. According to the report:

“The median existing-home price for all housing types in January was $240,500, up 5.8 percent from January 2017 ($227,300). January’s price increase marks the 71st straight month of year-over-year gains.”

Seventy-one consecutive months of price increases may have some concerned that current home values may be overinflated.

However, at the same time, Zillow issued a press release which revealed:

“If the housing bubble and bust had not happened, and home values had instead appreciated at a steady pace, the median home value would be higher than its current value.”

Here are two graphs that help show why home prices are exactly where they should be

The first graph shows actual median home sales prices from 2000 through 2017.

 

 By itself, this graph could heighten concerns as it shows home values rose in the early 2000s, came tumbling down and are now headed up again. It gives the feel of a rollercoaster ride that is about to take another turn downward.

However, if we also include where prices would naturally be, had there not been a boom & bust, we see a different story.

 

 The blue bars on this graph represent were prices would be if they had increased by the normal annual appreciation rate (3.6%). By adding 3.6% to the actual 2000 price and repeating that for each subsequent year, we can see that prices were overvalued during the boom, undervalued during the bust, and a little bit LOWER than where they should be right now.

 

Bottom Line

Based on historic appreciation levels, we should be very comfortable that current home values are not overinflated.

 

Source.. KCM Don Orason Blog

 

“All agents are NOT alike, We are Different … and We Want To Earn Your Business and Trust”

 

“The real estate market is constantly changing. I would like the opportunity to show you some of the new ways in which you are able to buy, sell and search for new homes”. 

We continually invest in the latest technology to give you the most up to date information on homes for sale and the most exposure for your property when selling.  

Give us a call at 408–741–9300 before buying or selling your next home. 

Don Orason, Owner — Silicon Valley Real Estate Team   

www.siliconvalleyrealestateteam.com

 

 

Posted in Almaden Valley
Feb. 22, 2018

Silver Creek Valley | Mortgage Rates on FIRE! Home Prices Up in Smoke?

Silver Creek Valley | Mortgage Rates on FIRE! Home Prices Up in Smoke?

 

Silver Creek is one of the most beautiful valleys in the San Jose area with beautiful scenery and rolling hills.    

There's is an abundance of open space, hiking trails, great schools and charm. Locals know that  Silver Creek is a great place to raise a family.   

While some people may say that the area is energized by new growth and rapid changes, Silver Creek somehow retains its old-fashioned charm and authenticity to provide a tranquil life for your family   

Connect with the past, present and future in Silver Creek Valley, one of the most charming neighborhood you’ll find in the San Jose area.   

Every home buyer has a wish when looking for a home, while not all of them are granted, the ‘feel good magic’ happens when they start seeing homes around neighborhoods of this beautiful valley.   

Is the people what makes this place a little different from others, It's a great place to live.   

Neighbors welcome you with open arms and share indiscriminately the beauty and charm that Silver Creek has to offer.   

Today I would like to point out specifically about  Homeownership: Mortgage Rates on FIRE! Home Prices Up in Smoke?

 

Mortgage interest rates have already risen by over a quarter of a percentage point in 2018. Many are projecting that rates could increase to 5% by the end of the year.

 

What impact will rising rates have on house values?

Many quickly jump to the conclusion that an increase in mortgage rates will have a detrimental impact on real estate prices as fewer buyers will be able to qualify for a loan. This seems logical; if there is less demand for housing then prices will drop. 

However, in a good economy, rising mortgage rates increase demand as many prospective purchasers immediately jump off the fence to guarantee they get the lower rate. 

Let’s look at home prices the last four times mortgage rates increased dramatically.

 

In each case, home prices APPRECIATED and did not depreciate. No one is projecting as dramatic an increase in rates as the examples above. Most are projecting an increase of approximately 1% by the end of the year.

The last time mortgage rates increased by 1% over a twelve-month period was January 2013 (3.41%) to January 2014 (4.43%). What happened to house prices during that span? They appreciated by 9.8%.

Just two weeks ago, Rick Palacios Jr., Director of Research at John Burns Real Estate Consulting explained:

“Mortgage rates have risen 1% or more ten times in the last 43 years, with little impact on home sales and prices when the economy was also strong…Historically, rising confidence, solid job growth, and higher wages have more than offset reduced demand for housing resulting from higher mortgage rates.”

 

Bottom Line

When mortgage rates increase, history has shown that prices appreciate (and do not depreciate) during that same time span.

 

Source.. KCM Don Orason Blog

 

“All agents are NOT alike, We are Different … and We Want To Earn Your Business and Trust”

“The real estate market is constantly changing. I would like the opportunity to show you some of the new ways in which you are able to buy, sell and search for new homes”. 

We continually invest in the latest technology to give you the most up to date information on homes for sale and the most exposure for your property when selling.   

Give us a call at 408–741–9300 before buying or selling your next home. 

Don Orason, Owner — Silicon Valley Real Estate Team   

www.siliconvalleyrealestateteam.com    

 

 

Posted in Silver Creek
Feb. 15, 2018

Almaden Valley Homes For Sale | Calm Down! The Real Estate Market is NOT Falling Apart

Almaden Valley Homes For Sale | Calm Down! The Real Estate Market is NOT Falling Apart

 

We’ve streamlined and perfected the process of finding dream homes for our clients in Almaden Valley    

We know you want to spend less time looking at perhaps hundreds of homes for sale, looking all over. . .just to find that special place, allow our knowledge, experience and passion for Almaden Valley to guide you through the process of finding the right neighborhood that will fit your lifestyle. We strive in making it easier and have a direct path to help you find your dream home.    

We are also your Trusted Resource for Almaden Valley Real Estate, offering complete solutions for buyers, from financing assistance to creating innovative marketing strategies for home sellers.     

Check out the Almaden Valley Real Estate Market Report here!  

We are your neighborhood specialists and we are ready to help you..    

Today I would like to speak to you about Calm Down! The Real Estate Market is NOT Falling Apart

 

There has been tremendous volatility in certain markets over the last few weeks (for example, the stock and currency markets). When this happens, some tend to lump all of their investments together and create an almost ‘Armageddon’ scenario where everything loses value quickly and dramatically. Real estate is an investment that can get caught up in this hysteria. Does the concern about the current housing market have merit? 

Financial advisors have been warning us for months that the stock market was ripe for a “correction.” 

Experts have been questioning the value of alternative currencies for over a year. 

In contrast, here are the opinions of three major players in the residential housing market:

 

Ralph DeFranco, Chief Economist, Arch Capital Services Inc.

“It’s premature to worry about a housing bubble. The typical warning signs – excessive debt levels, poor quality loans, exponentially increasing home prices, rising vacancy rates and/or poor affordability compared to the past, and a high number of internet searches on house flipping – are not present.”

 

Liu-Down, Genworth Chief Economist

“My thoughts on many recent discussions of ‘housing bubble’ – the bar for a housing bubble is higher than just prices being above some fundamental value. There must be widespread behavior change as well such as higher levels of fraud and speculation.”

 

Fitch Report

“US home prices are on track for a 5% nominal gain for the 4th consecutive year, returning national prices to their highest level since 2007. The growth has been driven by historically low mortgage rates and unemployment plus solid population and personal income growth rates…a meaningful correction should only be triggered by an unexpected economic shock.”

 

Bottom Line

Speculation has driven certain markets over the last year. However, it has not been speculation, but instead people’s desire for homeownership, that has driven the real estate market.

 

Source.. KCM Don Orason Blog

 

“All agents are NOT alike, We are Different … and We Want To Earn Your Business and Trust”

 

“The real estate market is constantly changing. I would like the opportunity to show you some of the new ways in which you are able to buy, sell and search for new homes”. 

We continually invest in the latest technology to give you the most up to date information on homes for sale and the most exposure for your property when selling.  

Give us a call at 408–741–9300 before buying or selling your next home. 

Don Orason, Owner — Silicon Valley Real Estate Team   

www.siliconvalleyrealestateteam.com

 

 

Posted in Almaden Valley